For the first time since May, the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll has Republican nominee Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton as the candidates head into the final week of the 2016 election. According to the latest version of the poll, Trump enjoys a one point lead over Clinton, beating her 46 to 45 in a four-way race. Libertarian Gary Johnson is down to 3 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein brings up the rear with 2 percent support.
Trump’s lead is within the poll’s margin of error, but his one-point advantage isn’t the only piece of good news emerging from the survey. He’s also leading Clinton in the battle for voter enthusiasm; 53 percent of those surveyed said they had “strong enthusiasm” for the Republican while only 45 percent can say the same about the former secretary of state.
For Clinton, the poll is grim evidence that her campaign is in serious trouble. A week ago, the ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll had her leading Trump 50 to 38 percent, making this one of the most sudden political earthquakes in modern history. Not since she fainted at a 9/11 ceremony have her presidential aspirations been in this much jeopardy.
Once again, her emails have come back to haunt her.
In case you’ve been sitting in a sensory deprivation chamber for the last week, here’s why the bottom seems to have fallen out of the Clinton campaign. On Friday, FBI Director James Comey sent a letter to Congress that rocked the election.
“In connection with an unrelated case, the FBI has learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the [Clinton] investigation,” Comey wrote. “I am writing to inform you that the investigative team briefed me on this yesterday, and I agreed that the FBI should take appropriate investigative steps designed to allow investigators to review these emails to determine whether they contain classified information, as well as to assess their importance to our investigation.”
Beyond Comey’s letter, we have only a limited selection of facts. We know that the “unrelated case” is an FBI investigation into Anthony Weiner, who is suspected of carrying on an inappropriate online relationship with an underage girl. We know that agents found hidden emails on Weiner’s laptop that raised alarm bells. To the best of our knowledge, those emails contain correspondence between Weiner’s wife – Huma Abedin – and Hillary Clinton. And even that is more information than has been publicly revealed. Rumors abound, but at this point, rumors they remain.
It’s unlikely that we’ll learn much more before election day, which will unfortunately leave voters in a state of great uncertainty as they head to the polls on November 8. But if this new poll is anything to go by, the mere fact that this investigation is back on has been enough to convince voters that Hillary Clinton does not deserve to be president.