In case you didn’t know, Democrats put a great deal of their eggs into the Black Voter basket. It’s the basket they know – to a 100% certainty – that they can count in every single time there’s an election. Voting Democrat is more than a personal preference in the black community – it’s practically another part of the identity. To be a black conservative is to choose the path of the unicorn, and that’s not always the easiest path to take. Democrats and black voters go together like peanut butter and jelly, even if the Democratic Party has done precious little to earn that loyalty over the last three or four decades.
But we’re not here to talk about how black people should vote, why they vote the way they do, or what the Democratic Party should be doing to earn support from African-Americans. We’re just here to survey the electoral landscape heading into 2020. But you have to keep in mind: If Democrats – Joe Biden, in particular – were to lose their iron grip on black support, they would be finished as a national party.
So now read this, from the Washington Examiner:
A nationwide poll released on Monday indicates former Vice President Joe Biden is underperforming compared to prior Democrat nominees among black voters.
The poll, conducted by John Zogby Strategies and EMI Research Solutions, surveying 1,000 voters nationally, found only 77 percent of black voters are committed to voting for Biden in the general election. Meanwhile, according to the results, 14 percent of black voters plan to support President Donald Trump, with another nine percent still not having made up their mind.
If accurate, the numbers pose a major problem for Biden and his party moving into the general election. Most Democrat strategists point to a drop-off in black turnout between 2012 and 2016 as the primary reason for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton lost.
During that race, Clinton received 88 percent of the black vote, according to exit polls. Although impressive, the numbers were significantly lower than the 93 percent former President Barack Obama garnered on his way to reelection in 2012.
Let’s put it as simply as possible: If Biden cannot improve his black numbers beyond this, he will not win the presidency. It’s not even so important whether or not black voters switch their loyalty to Trump, although that would compound the issues for Biden and put us into landslide territory. It’s enough that they are insufficiently motivated to vote for Biden. It’s enough that a small percentage of black voters stay home. That, in and of itself, would mean victory for Trump in November.
Democrats see this problem clearly; that’s why they are doing everything in their power to pander to Black Lives Matter. Unfortunately, they may learn all-too-late that wearing kente cloths and kneeling does not really address the concerns on the minds of black voters in the Midwest. These voters want results. These voters want economic plans that will bring revitalization to their communities. These voters want what everyone in America wants: A country where they have the opportunity to succeed.
Judging by these numbers, they are losing faith in the Democratic Party’s ability to provide that.